La escuela de los momios

Tromso v Sandefjord

Inicio: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tromso (Local)

Predicción 59.48%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -3.02%
Kelly -8.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.87%59.39%59.52%60.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.561.571.6068.97%64.05%63.69%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandefjord (Visitante)

Predicción 17.56%5.70momio equitativo
EV +0.951%
Ventaja +0.165%
Kelly +0.200%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.68%17.64%17.52%19.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.044.955.7522.22%19.83%20.20%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.96%4.36momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -0.849%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.15%22.97%22.96%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.943.904.2029.41%25.40%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.42%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV +0.951%E +0.165%K +0.200%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 11:55
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.93%EV -1.16%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -5.40%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:04
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.59%E -6.31%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 17:55
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.76%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.48%EV -3.97%E -0.725%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:34
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.03%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.34%EV -3.97%E -0.725%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.64%EV -3.80%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 16:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -4.71%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -4.71%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:35
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 21:54
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -6.07%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 01:29
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:04
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 00:14
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.47%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 09:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 20:30
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:30
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:40
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 15:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 15:05
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 12:43
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:44
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.32%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.74%EV -14.85%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-21 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:04
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 09:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 58.98%EV -13.15%E -9.01%K -28.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.94%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.08%EV -14.36%E -3.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 09:55
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -16.61%E -3.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:44
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.61%E -3.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-20 07:39
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -19.24%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -11.97%E -8.08%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -19.24%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -21.00%E -4.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.93%E -6.45%K -9.14%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 15:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 59.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%11.4%2026-04-23 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:05