Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann v IK Start

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC

Final: SK Brann 2–1 IK Start

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann (Local)

Prediction 66.31%1.51fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -6.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.82%66.19%66.39%68.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4676.92%72.24%72.46%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Start (Visit)

Prediction 14.30%6.99fair odd
EV +4.10%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +0.653%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 7.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.06%14.43%14.28%16.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.426.507.2818.52%15.58%15.38%13.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.39%5.16fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.217%
Kelly -0.270%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.16%19.39%19.33%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.774.755.1023.09%20.94%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Brann (Local): 66.31%; IK Start (Visit): 14.30%; Draw: 19.39%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.99. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.64%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.29%EV +4.10%E +0.563%K +0.653%G +0.027%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.08%EV -1.69%E -0.333%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.14%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV +2.96%E +0.411%K +0.477%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.92%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.22%EV -2.08%E -0.411%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-12 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:54
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 14:38
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV -1.33%E -0.193%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV -1.33%E -0.193%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -2.76%E -0.406%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:50
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:14
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:15
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -6.34%E -0.968%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 14:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 14:29
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 11:19
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -11.14%E -8.32%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-12 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -11.14%E -8.32%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-12 11:15
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:49
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.64%EV -9.91%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.50%EV -8.28%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 11:19
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -10.20%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.73%EV -6.54%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -13.80%E -10.61%K -45.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-12 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 14:29
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 14:34
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:43
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.77%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 14:39
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.80%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-12 14:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:54
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.78%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -15.63%E -2.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-12 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -17.06%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -17.78%E -3.09%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.30%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -18.49%E -3.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:29
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -21.35%E -3.88%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.45%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -22.78%E -4.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-07-12 14:55
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 68.70%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.16%0.4%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-07-12 14:55
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-07-12 14:55

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