L’École des cotes

SK Brann v IK Start

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC

Score final : SK Brann 2–1 IK Start

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SK Brann (Local)

Prévision 66.31%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -6.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.82%66.19%66.39%68.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.381.381.4676.92%72.24%72.46%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Start (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.30%6.99cote équitable
EV +4.10%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.653%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 7.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.06%14.43%14.28%16.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.426.507.2818.52%15.58%15.38%13.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.39%5.16cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.217%
Kelly -0.270%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.16%19.39%19.33%20.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.774.755.1023.09%20.94%21.05%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.64%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.29%EV +4.10%E +0.563%K +0.653%G +0.027%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.08%EV -1.69%E -0.333%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 14:50
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.14%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV +2.96%E +0.411%K +0.477%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:54
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.92%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.22%EV -2.08%E -0.411%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-12 14:34
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:54
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:54
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 14:38
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV -1.33%E -0.193%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV -1.33%E -0.193%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:39
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -2.76%E -0.406%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:50
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 11:14
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:14
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:15
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:15
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 11:19
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -6.34%E -0.968%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:50
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 14:44
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 14:29
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 11:19
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -11.14%E -8.32%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-12 11:15
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -11.14%E -8.32%K -32.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-12 11:15
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 14:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:49
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.64%EV -9.91%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.50%EV -8.28%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 11:19
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -10.20%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.73%EV -6.54%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 14:54
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 14:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 14:34
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -13.80%E -10.61%K -45.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-12 11:15
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 14:29
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 14:34
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:43
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:50
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.77%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 14:39
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.80%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-12 14:32
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:54
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 14:55
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 64.78%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -15.63%E -2.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-12 14:34
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -17.06%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:29
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -17.78%E -3.09%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:34
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.30%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -18.49%E -3.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 14:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -21.35%E -3.88%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.45%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -22.78%E -4.22%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 14:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%0.2%2026-07-12 14:55
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 68.70%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.16%0.4%2026-07-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-07-12 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-07-12 14:55
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-07-12 14:55