La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SK Brann v IK Start
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SK Brann (Local)
Predicción 66.31%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -6.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.82%66.19%66.39%68.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.381.4676.92%72.24%72.46%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IK Start (Visitante)
Predicción 14.30%6.99momio equitativo
EV +4.10%
Ventaja +0.563%
Kelly +0.653%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.06%14.43%14.28%16.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.426.507.2818.52%15.58%15.38%13.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.39%5.16momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.217%
Kelly -0.270%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.16%19.39%19.33%20.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.774.755.1023.09%20.94%21.05%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.64%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.28I 13.74%NM 13.29%EV +4.10%E +0.563%K +0.653%G +0.027% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.08%EV -1.69%E -0.333%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.14%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV +2.96%E +0.411%K +0.477%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.92%EV -3.85%E -2.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.22%EV -2.08%E -0.411%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +0.096%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 14:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV -1.33%E -0.193%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.02%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV -1.33%E -0.193%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -2.76%E -0.406%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 14:50 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 11:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:14 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:15 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.11%E -0.217%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.47%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -3.48%E -0.515%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.13%EV -6.50%E -4.61%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -6.34%E -0.968%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 14:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -11.14%E -8.32%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-12 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.84%EV -11.14%E -8.32%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -3.05%E -0.609%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-12 11:15 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 14:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -7.05%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-12 14:49 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.64%EV -9.91%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 19.50%EV -8.28%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 11:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -10.20%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.73%EV -6.54%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -13.80%E -10.61%K -45.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -10.63%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-12 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 14:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 14:43 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.77%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 14:39 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-12 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.80%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-12 14:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.78%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -14.20%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.68%E -3.34%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -15.63%E -2.65%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -17.06%E -2.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 14:29 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -17.78%E -3.09%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.30%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -18.49%E -3.24%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 14:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -21.35%E -3.88%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-12 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.45%EV -9.16%E -6.68%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -22.78%E -4.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-12 14:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19% | 0.2% | 2026-07-12 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.70% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.16% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 14:55 |