Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.96
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 49.64%; Vålerenga (Visit): 27.31%; Draw: 23.05%. For Vålerenga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV +1.05%E +0.283%K +0.387%G +0.004% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.68%EV -1.34%E -0.314%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.88%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.866%E -0.239%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV -0.882%E -0.205%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.25%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -2.23%E -0.623%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -5.72%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.17%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.14%E -6.86%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.63%EV -2.71%E -1.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -8.72%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.17%E -4.41%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 14:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.57%EV -11.72%E -3.06%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -8.17%E -4.41%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 13:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -13.97%E -4.44%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -16.71%E -5.48%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.48%EV -13.13%E -7.50%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -18.07%E -6.02%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-06 13:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.81% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |