Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sarpsborg FK v Vålerenga

Inizio: 2026-09-06 15:01 UTC

Finale: Sarpsborg FK 2–2 Vålerenga

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sarpsborg FK (Casa)

Previsione 49.64%2.01quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.51%49.69%49.60%51.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.861.871.9657.14%53.63%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Vålerenga (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.31%3.66quota equa
EV +1.05%
Vantaggio +0.283%
Kelly +0.387%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.23%27.35%27.35%29.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.353.403.7033.33%29.86%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.05%4.34quota equa
EV -0.882%
Vantaggio -0.205%
Kelly -0.267%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.65%22.97%23.05%24.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.753.973.954.3026.67%25.22%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sarpsborg FK (Casa): 49.64%; Vålerenga (Trasferta): 27.31%; Pareggio: 23.05%. Per Vålerenga (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.66. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.05%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV +1.05%E +0.283%K +0.387%G +0.004%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.68%EV -1.34%E -0.314%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.88%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.866%E -0.239%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV -0.882%E -0.205%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 14:55
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.25%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -2.23%E -0.623%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -5.72%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.17%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.14%E -6.86%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:45
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.63%EV -2.71%E -1.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -8.72%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 14:30
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 14:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:40
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:54
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 14:14
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.17%E -4.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:30
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 14:53
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.57%EV -11.72%E -3.06%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:50
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -8.17%E -4.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 13:15
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -13.97%E -4.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -16.71%E -5.48%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.48%EV -13.13%E -7.50%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -18.07%E -6.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-06 13:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-06 14:55
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-09-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.7%2026-09-06 14:55