Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK v Vålerenga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 15:01 UTC

Score final : Sarpsborg FK 2–2 Vålerenga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 49.64%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.51%49.69%49.60%51.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.861.871.9657.14%53.63%53.48%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.31%3.66cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +0.387%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.23%27.35%27.35%29.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.403.7033.33%29.86%29.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.05%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.882%
Avantage -0.205%
Kelly -0.267%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.65%22.97%23.05%24.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.973.954.3026.67%25.22%25.32%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarpsborg FK (Local) : 49.64% ; Vålerenga (Visiteur) : 27.31% ; Match nul : 23.05%. Pour Vålerenga (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.66. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +1.05%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV +1.05%E +0.283%K +0.387%G +0.004%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.68%EV -1.34%E -0.314%K -0.409%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.88%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -0.866%E -0.239%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%EV -0.882%E -0.205%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 14:55
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.25%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -2.23%E -0.623%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -5.72%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.17%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.14%E -6.86%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:45
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.63%EV -2.71%E -1.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -8.72%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 14:30
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.79%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 14:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:40
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.78%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:54
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 14:14
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:45
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.17%E -4.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:30
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 14:53
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.51%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.89%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.07%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.57%EV -11.72%E -3.06%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.17%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:50
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -8.17%E -4.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 14:19
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 13:15
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.87%EV -7.67%E -4.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.68%EV -9.66%E -5.31%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -8.66%E -4.71%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -13.97%E -4.44%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.29%EV -16.71%E -5.48%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.48%EV -13.13%E -7.50%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -18.07%E -6.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-06 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-06 14:55
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-09-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.7%2026-09-06 14:55