Language:English
Sarpsborg FK v IK Start
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Prediction 52.74%1.90fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.04%52.82%52.76%54.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.741.8363.29%57.72%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Start (Visit)
Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +0.803%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%23.33%23.25%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.014.004.4028.57%24.93%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.91%4.18fair odd
EV +0.416%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.61%23.86%23.99%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.843.904.2030.77%26.03%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 52.74%; IK Start (Visit): 23.35%; Draw: 23.91%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -11.39%E -6.78%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +0.395%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -4.53%E -2.50%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +0.161%E +0.038%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.05%EV -3.89%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.02%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.72%EV -0.306%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -4.37%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -12.45%E -7.50%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -0.773%E -0.182%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -12.45%E -7.50%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -0.773%E -0.182%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.50%E -8.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.37%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.42%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -5.91%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.91%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.34%EV -5.91%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.17%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.416%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 03:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.416%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 03:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 14:32 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 14:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.22%EV -12.97%E -7.86%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -11.75%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -10.82%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -22.30%E -6.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -15.95%E -4.43%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -18.28%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 52.90%EV -16.66%E -10.55%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -18.28%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.22%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-26 23:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |