La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sarpsborg FK v IK Start
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Predicción 52.74%1.90momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -4.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.04%52.82%52.76%54.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.731.741.8363.29%57.72%57.47%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IK Start (Visitante)
Predicción 23.35%4.28momio equitativo
EV +2.73%
Ventaja +0.620%
Kelly +0.803%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%23.33%23.25%25.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.014.004.4028.57%24.93%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.91%4.18momio equitativo
EV +0.416%
Ventaja +0.099%
Kelly +0.130%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.61%23.86%23.99%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.843.904.2030.77%26.03%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -11.39%E -6.78%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +0.395%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -4.53%E -2.50%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +0.161%E +0.038%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.05%EV -3.89%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.02%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.72%EV -0.306%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -4.37%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -12.45%E -7.50%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -0.773%E -0.182%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -12.45%E -7.50%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -0.773%E -0.182%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.50%E -8.23%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.37%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.42%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -5.91%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.91%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.34%EV -5.91%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.17%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.416%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 03:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.416%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 03:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 14:32 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 14:34 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 14:38 |
| BetAnything | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.22%EV -12.97%E -7.86%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -11.75%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -10.82%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -22.30%E -6.86%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -15.95%E -4.43%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -18.28%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 52.90%EV -16.66%E -10.55%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -18.28%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.22%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-26 23:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |