مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sarpsborg FK v IK Start

البداية: 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.74%1.90السعر العادل
EV -3.48%
الأفضلية -1.90%
Kelly -4.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.04%52.82%52.76%54.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.581.731.741.8363.29%57.72%57.47%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IK Start (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.35%4.28السعر العادل
EV +2.73%
الأفضلية +0.620%
Kelly +0.803%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.34%23.33%23.25%25.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.014.004.4028.57%24.93%25.00%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.91%4.18السعر العادل
EV +0.416%
الأفضلية +0.099%
Kelly +0.130%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.61%23.86%23.99%26.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.843.904.2030.77%26.03%25.64%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:24
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:24
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:25
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:25
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV +2.73%E +0.620%K +0.803%G +0.022%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:24
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV +1.56%E +0.359%K +0.466%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:25
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -11.39%E -6.78%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +0.395%E +0.092%K +0.120%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -4.53%E -2.50%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +0.161%E +0.038%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.05%EV -3.89%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 14:35
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.02%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.72%EV -0.306%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -4.37%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 14:40
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -12.45%E -7.50%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -0.773%E -0.182%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -12.45%E -7.50%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -0.773%E -0.182%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 14:25
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -13.50%E -8.23%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 14:24
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -9.81%E -5.74%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.37%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:30
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.42%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -5.91%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.91%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 14:35
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.34%EV -5.91%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%EV -3.17%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:25
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.416%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-06 03:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV +0.416%E +0.099%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.3%2026-04-06 03:24
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 14:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 14:30
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 14:35
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:35
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -9.28%E -5.40%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:32
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:34
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 14:38
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.17%E -4.07%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 14:40
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 14:35
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:40
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 14:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:25
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 14:40
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 14:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.15%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 14:35
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 14:35
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.22%EV -12.97%E -7.86%K -19.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -11.75%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -10.82%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -8.23%E -4.73%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.76%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 14:40
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -22.30%E -6.86%K -9.91%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-06 14:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.92%E -7.14%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -15.95%E -4.43%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 14:40
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -10.34%E -6.08%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -18.28%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 14:40
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.90%EV -16.66%E -10.55%K -28.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -18.28%E -5.22%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.22%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-26 23:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-06 14:40
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-06 14:35
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%2.0%2026-04-06 14:40