Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sarpsborg FK v HamKam

Início: 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Final: Sarpsborg FK 1–0 HamKam

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Previsão 56.54%1.77odd justa
EV -4.45%
Vantagem -2.63%
Kelly -6.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.90%56.62%56.40%59.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.651.6964.52%61.11%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

HamKam (Visitante)

Previsão 20.53%4.87odd justa
EV +6.34%
Vantagem +1.22%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.74%20.51%20.57%21.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.464.505.1825.00%22.41%22.22%19.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.93%4.36odd justa
EV +0.904%
Vantagem +0.206%
Kelly +0.266%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.83%22.86%23.03%24.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.983.954.4026.67%25.14%25.32%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 56.54%; HamKam (Visitante): 20.53%; Empate: 22.93%. Para HamKam (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.87. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.18, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.74%EV +6.34%E +1.22%K +1.52%G +0.096%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +0.904%E +0.206%K +0.266%G +0.002%3.0%2026-07-26 11:01
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.08%EV -1.25%E -0.261%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -2.76%E -0.652%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 14:56
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.01%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -2.28%E -0.479%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.99%EV -5.06%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.89%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.54%E -0.976%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.12%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.68%E -0.877%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:16
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:50
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.25%EV -4.45%E -2.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.85%EV -6.39%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.83%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.12%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 14:56
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 13:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:20
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.84%E -4.81%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.30%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.86%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:55
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -7.12%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.86%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.67%E -6.75%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -11.80%E -7.56%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:53
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -11.72%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:16
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.71%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -11.71%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.86%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 14:55
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.85%EV -10.67%E -6.75%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -15.83%E -3.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -12.37%E -7.98%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -17.88%E -4.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 13:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-07-26 14:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-07-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-07-26 14:46
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-07-26 14:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.03%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-07-26 14:56