Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK v HamKam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sarpsborg FK 1–0 HamKam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 56.54%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -6.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.90%56.62%56.40%59.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.651.6964.52%61.11%60.61%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.53%4.87cote équitable
EV +6.34%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 5.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.74%20.51%20.57%21.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.464.505.1825.00%22.41%22.22%19.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.93%4.36cote équitable
EV +0.904%
Avantage +0.206%
Kelly +0.266%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.83%22.86%23.03%24.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.983.954.4026.67%25.14%25.32%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarpsborg FK (Local) : 56.54% ; HamKam (Visiteur) : 20.53% ; Match nul : 22.93%. Pour HamKam (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.87. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.18, soit une espérance positive de +6.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.74%EV +6.34%E +1.22%K +1.52%G +0.096%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +0.904%E +0.206%K +0.266%G +0.002%3.0%2026-07-26 11:01
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.14%EV -4.45%E -2.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.08%EV -1.25%E -0.261%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -2.76%E -0.652%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 14:56
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.01%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV -2.28%E -0.479%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.99%EV -5.06%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.89%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -4.54%E -0.976%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.12%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.68%E -0.877%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 14:16
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.57%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 13:50
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.25%EV -4.45%E -2.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.85%EV -6.39%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -4.83%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.12%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 14:56
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 13:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:20
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.84%E -4.81%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -7.62%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.30%EV -11.24%E -7.16%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.21%EV -8.65%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 14:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -5.58%E -3.34%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.86%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 14:55
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -7.12%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.42%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 14:45
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 13:15
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.86%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -10.67%E -6.75%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -9.67%E -2.20%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -11.80%E -7.56%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -10.70%E -2.46%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:53
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -11.11%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 14:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -11.72%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.98%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 14:16
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.54%E -5.96%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -12.75%E -3.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.71%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -6.71%E -4.07%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -11.71%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.86%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 14:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 14:55
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.97%E -5.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -13.78%E -3.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.85%EV -10.67%E -6.75%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -15.83%E -3.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -12.37%E -7.98%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -17.88%E -4.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -8.27%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 13:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-07-26 14:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-07-26 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-07-26 14:46
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-07-26 14:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.03%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-07-26 14:56