L’École des cotes

Sarpsborg FK v HamKam

2026-07-26 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 54.93%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -3.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.19%54.81%55.00%56.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.74%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.61%4.63cote équitable
EV +4.81%
Avantage +0.991%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.42%21.63%21.47%23.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.184.204.8526.67%23.91%23.81%20.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV -0.978%
Avantage -0.232%
Kelly -0.304%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.75%23.57%23.54%25.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.873.854.2228.17%25.84%25.97%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV +4.81%E +0.991%K +1.25%G +0.060%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -14.35%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:54
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV +4.81%E +0.991%K +1.25%G +0.060%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -14.35%E -3.93%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:55
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.27%EV +1.78%E +0.378%K +0.480%G +0.009%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.57%EV -4.97%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 17:05
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.47%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.78%EV -0.163%E -0.035%K -0.045%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.75%EV -0.978%E -0.232%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.18%EV -8.82%E -5.32%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.595%E -0.129%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.55%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 16:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.92%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -2.76%E -0.612%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.97%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -4.92%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.79%E -0.925%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:05
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -4.92%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.79%E -0.925%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:00
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -4.92%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.79%E -0.925%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:05
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.92%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.79%E -0.925%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 23:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.92%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.79%E -0.925%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.92%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 16:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -4.92%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 17:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 22:53
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.43%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 22:49
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.08%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 23:04
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.08%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.08%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.08%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 23:09
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.12%EV -7.51%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.09%EV -7.78%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.16%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.16%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 16:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.24%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:09
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.24%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.24%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 16:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.24%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 16:45
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.36%EV -11.02%E -6.80%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.24%E -2.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 16:59
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.40%E -2.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 16:50
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.40%E -2.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.40%E -2.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.40%E -2.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.56%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.31%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 16:50
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.56%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.56%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.18%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.56%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.18%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.56%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.18%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.56%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.18%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.64%E -3.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -15.72%E -4.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 17:50
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -16.80%E -4.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -16.80%E -4.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.51%EV -9.92%E -6.05%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -17.88%E -4.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 16:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -18.96%E -5.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 17:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -11.02%E -6.80%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -18.96%E -5.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-23 13:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-25 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-07-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-07-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-07-25 17:55
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-07-25 21:40