La escuela de los momios

Sarpsborg FK v HamKam

2026-07-26 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Predicción 55.01%1.82momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.19%54.90%55.02%56.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.76%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HamKam (Visitante)

Predicción 21.57%4.64momio equitativo
EV +4.62%
Ventaja +0.953%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.055%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.42%21.56%21.48%23.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.204.8526.67%23.88%23.81%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.42%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.280%
Kelly -0.368%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.75%23.53%23.50%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.873.854.2228.17%25.82%25.97%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV +4.62%E +0.953%K +1.20%G +0.055%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -14.53%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:54
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV +4.62%E +0.953%K +1.20%G +0.055%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -14.53%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:55
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.76%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.14%EV +3.97%E +0.825%K +1.04%G +0.041%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -1.65%E -0.393%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 02:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.27%EV +1.60%E +0.340%K +0.432%G +0.007%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.57%EV -5.16%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 17:05
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.47%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.78%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.75%EV -1.18%E -0.280%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 16:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.18%EV -8.68%E -5.23%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -0.771%E -0.168%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.55%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:05
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:00
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 55.24%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:05
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 23:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.68%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 16:50
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -5.09%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -16.87%E -4.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 16:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 17:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.68%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 22:53
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.60%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.68%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 22:49
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.24%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 23:04
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.24%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.24%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.68%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.24%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 23:09
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -3.18%E -1.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.12%EV -7.67%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.09%EV -7.97%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.32%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.32%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 16:55
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.68%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:09
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 16:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 16:45
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.36%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -9.40%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 16:59
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.68%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 16:50
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.56%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 16:50
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.71%E -3.43%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:49
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.79%E -3.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 17:50
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -3.18%E -1.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -15.87%E -4.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 17:50
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -16.95%E -4.40%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -16.95%E -4.40%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.51%EV -9.78%E -5.96%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.03%E -4.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 16:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -7.58%E -4.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.70%E -4.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 17:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -10.88%E -6.72%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -19.11%E -5.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-23 13:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-07-25 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-07-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-07-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-07-25 17:55
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.90%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-07-25 21:40