La scuola delle quote

Sarpsborg FK v Fredrikstad FK

Inizio: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Finale: Sarpsborg FK 2–1 Fredrikstad FK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Casa)

Previsione 48.73%2.05quota equa
EV -3.51%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -3.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.30%48.75%48.70%50.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.891.901.9856.82%52.98%52.63%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fredrikstad FK (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.76%3.88quota equa
EV -0.833%
Vantaggio -0.216%
Kelly -0.292%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%25.72%25.75%26.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.563.553.8530.30%28.10%28.17%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.51%3.92quota equa
EV -2.81%
Vantaggio -0.738%
Kelly -1.000%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.87%25.54%25.55%27.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.593.603.8132.26%27.85%27.78%26.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 11:54
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 11:54
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.26%EV -4.00%E -2.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 11:54
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -4.48%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.34%EV -2.81%E -0.738%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 11:54
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.92%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.51%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.57%EV -4.85%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:34
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:34
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 11:34
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:19
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:29
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.90%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.52%EV -5.73%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:52
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 11:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 11:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 11:19
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 11:54
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.41%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 09:44
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.41%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 09:44
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 11:19
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:41
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:44
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:44
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 11:19
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:20
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:19
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 11:27
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -9.36%E -5.03%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 11:19
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 11:19
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 11:44
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 11:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 11:19
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 11:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 11:34
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:45
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 11:45
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.31%E -6.21%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -13.71%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 11:19
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.60%EV -11.79%E -6.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.71%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 11:19
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-09 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.92%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-09 11:44
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -13.74%E -7.76%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.21%EV -10.36%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.21%EV -11.23%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 11:33
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.50%EV -14.23%E -8.08%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.99%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 11:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 11:54
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-09 11:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-05-09 11:54