L’École des cotesFrançais
Sarpsborg FK v Fredrikstad FK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Prévision 48.73%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -3.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.30%48.75%48.70%50.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.891.901.9856.82%52.98%52.63%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.76%3.88cote équitable
EV -0.833%
Avantage -0.216%
Kelly -0.292%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.72%25.75%26.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.553.8530.30%28.10%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.51%3.92cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.738%
Kelly -1.000%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.87%25.54%25.55%27.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.8132.26%27.85%27.78%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.26%EV -4.00%E -2.03%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -4.48%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.34%EV -2.81%E -0.738%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.92%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.51%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.57%EV -4.85%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.90%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.52%EV -5.73%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 11:52 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.41%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 09:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.41%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 09:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:41 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:27 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -9.36%E -5.03%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 11:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.31%E -6.21%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -13.71%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.60%EV -11.79%E -6.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.71%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.92%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -13.74%E -7.76%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.21%EV -10.36%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.21%EV -11.23%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 11:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.50%EV -14.23%E -8.08%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.99%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |