La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sarpsborg FK v Fredrikstad FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarpsborg FK (Local)
Predicción 48.73%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%48.75%48.70%50.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.891.901.9856.82%52.98%52.63%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)
Predicción 25.76%3.88momio equitativo
EV -0.833%
Ventaja -0.216%
Kelly -0.292%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%25.72%25.75%26.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.553.8530.30%28.10%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.51%3.92momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -0.738%
Kelly -1.000%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.87%25.54%25.55%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.603.8132.26%27.85%27.78%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.51%E -1.77%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.26%EV -4.00%E -2.03%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -0.833%E -0.216%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -4.48%E -2.29%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.34%EV -2.81%E -0.738%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.92%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.51%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.57%EV -4.85%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.97%E -2.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.43%E -3.35%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.90%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.52%EV -5.73%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 11:52 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.92%E -3.62%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.41%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 09:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.41%E -3.90%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 09:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:41 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -8.38%E -4.46%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.87%E -4.74%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 11:27 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -9.36%E -5.03%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.84%E -5.32%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -2.12%E -0.558%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 11:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.82%E -5.91%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.31%E -6.21%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -13.71%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.60%EV -11.79%E -6.52%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -13.71%E -4.09%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -12.28%E -6.82%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.92%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-09 11:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -13.74%E -7.76%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.21%EV -10.36%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.21%EV -11.23%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 11:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.50%EV -14.23%E -8.08%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.99%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 11:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 11:54 |