L’École des cotes

Sandefjord v Aalesund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sandefjord (Local)

Prévision 51.17%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.63%51.38%51.12%56.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.8859.88%55.97%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.98%4.00cote équitable
EV +15.64%
Avantage +3.38%
Kelly +4.31%
Croissance +0.674%

avec la cote maximale 4.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.97%24.84%24.94%26.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.743.754.6330.30%26.71%26.67%21.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.85%4.19cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +0.777%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.58%23.79%23.94%25.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.833.854.3030.77%26.12%25.97%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.97%EV +15.64%E +3.38%K +4.31%G +0.674%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +2.56%E +0.596%K +0.777%G +0.020%3.0%2026-05-03 10:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.27%EV -7.38%E -4.08%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.092%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.07%EV -6.26%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.86%EV -5.85%E -3.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.22%EV -1.59%E -0.404%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.92%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 14:50
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.533%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -3.64%E -0.900%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:45
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:45
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.79%EV -12.50%E -7.31%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 14:45
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -3.84%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:40
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -14.55%E -8.71%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 14:45
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:54
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:45
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:53
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:40
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:40
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:54
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:45
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.16%EV -14.03%E -8.35%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.49%EV -11.03%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 14:44
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.59%EV -13.01%E -7.65%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 14:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 14:56
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -6.87%E -3.77%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.83%E -4.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.13%EV -9.94%E -5.65%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -16.33%E -4.87%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 14:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.36%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.63%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.49%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.88%EV -22.48%E -6.92%K -9.99%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-05-03 14:45