La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sandefjord v Aalesund
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sandefjord (Local)
Predicción 51.17%1.95momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.63%51.38%51.12%56.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.791.801.8859.88%55.97%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aalesund (Visitante)
Predicción 24.98%4.00momio equitativo
EV +15.64%
Ventaja +3.38%
Kelly +4.31%
Crecimiento +0.674%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.97%24.84%24.94%26.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.743.754.6330.30%26.71%26.67%21.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.85%4.19momio equitativo
EV +2.56%
Ventaja +0.596%
Kelly +0.777%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.58%23.79%23.94%25.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.833.854.3030.77%26.12%25.97%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.97%EV +15.64%E +3.38%K +4.31%G +0.674% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +2.56%E +0.596%K +0.777%G +0.020% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 10:30 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.27%EV -7.38%E -4.08%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.092%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.07%EV -6.26%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.86%EV -5.85%E -3.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.22%EV -1.59%E -0.404%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.92%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.533%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -3.64%E -0.900%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.79%EV -12.50%E -7.31%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -3.84%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -14.55%E -8.71%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 14:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 14:53 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.16%EV -14.03%E -8.35%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.49%EV -11.03%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 14:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.59%EV -13.01%E -7.65%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 14:56 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -6.87%E -3.77%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.83%E -4.01%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.13%EV -9.94%E -5.65%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -16.33%E -4.87%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.36%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.63%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.49%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.88%EV -22.48%E -6.92%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |