مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sandefjord v Aalesund

البداية: 2026-05-03 15:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sandefjord (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.17%1.95السعر العادل
EV -3.80%
الأفضلية -2.02%
Kelly -4.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.63%51.38%51.12%56.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.791.801.8859.88%55.97%55.56%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aalesund (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.98%4.00السعر العادل
EV +15.64%
الأفضلية +3.38%
Kelly +4.31%
النمو +0.674%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.97%24.84%24.94%26.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.743.754.6330.30%26.71%26.67%21.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.85%4.19السعر العادل
EV +2.56%
الأفضلية +0.596%
Kelly +0.777%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.58%23.79%23.94%25.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.833.854.3030.77%26.12%25.97%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.45%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.97%EV +15.64%E +3.38%K +4.31%G +0.674%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +2.56%E +0.596%K +0.777%G +0.020%3.0%2026-05-03 10:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.27%EV -7.38%E -4.08%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.092%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.07%EV -6.26%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.34%E -0.339%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 14:45
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.86%EV -5.85%E -3.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.22%EV -1.59%E -0.404%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.92%EV -4.83%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 14:50
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.533%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.93%EV -3.64%E -0.900%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:45
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -11.99%E -6.97%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:45
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.79%EV -12.50%E -7.31%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 14:45
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -3.84%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 14:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:40
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -14.55%E -8.71%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 14:45
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:54
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:45
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 14:53
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:40
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:40
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:54
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.33%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:45
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.16%EV -14.03%E -8.35%K -20.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.49%EV -11.03%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 14:44
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.59%EV -13.01%E -7.65%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 14:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 14:56
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -6.87%E -3.77%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.75%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.42%EV -7.89%E -4.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -13.83%E -4.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.13%EV -9.94%E -5.65%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -16.33%E -4.87%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 14:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.36%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.63%EV -11.47%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.49%EV -17.58%E -5.33%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.88%EV -22.48%E -6.92%K -9.99%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-03 14:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-03 14:45
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-05-03 14:45