Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 3–0 Kristiansund BK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg (Local)

Prediction 59.52%1.68fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.35%59.43%59.51%60.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.89%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kristiansund BK (Visit)

Prediction 18.23%5.49fair odd
EV +0.430%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.26%18.28%18.24%19.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.995.005.5122.22%20.04%20.00%18.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.25%4.49fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.46%22.29%22.25%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.004.4326.67%24.63%25.00%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosenborg (Local): 59.52%; Kristiansund BK (Visit): 18.23%; Draw: 22.25%. For Kristiansund BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.430%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.70%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.52%EV +0.430%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.79%EV -1.43%E -0.322%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 13:39
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -2.49%E -0.465%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -2.49%E -0.465%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:54
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.15%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.00%EV -3.76%E -0.713%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -3.21%E -0.738%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:44
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 13:35
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.79%EV -2.98%E -1.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.37%EV -10.33%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 08:19
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 09:44
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.65%E -0.844%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 08:19
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:55
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-09 15:33
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:48
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 14:53
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:49
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.53%E -6.27%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:44
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.41%EV -11.60%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -9.88%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 14:44
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 13:34
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -13.42%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -14.33%E -3.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 12:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.56%E -4.42%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 14:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 14:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:44
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-12 14:50

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