La escuela de los momios

Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK

Inicio: 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 3–0 Kristiansund BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Predicción 59.52%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.35%59.43%59.51%60.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.89%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kristiansund BK (Visitante)

Predicción 18.23%5.49momio equitativo
EV +0.430%
Ventaja +0.078%
Kelly +0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.26%18.28%18.24%19.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.995.005.5122.22%20.04%20.00%18.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.25%4.49momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.322%
Kelly -0.417%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.46%22.29%22.25%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.064.004.4326.67%24.63%25.00%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.70%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.52%EV +0.430%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.79%EV -1.43%E -0.322%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 14:50
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 13:39
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -2.49%E -0.465%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -2.49%E -0.465%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:54
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:54
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:54
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.15%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.00%EV -3.76%E -0.713%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -3.21%E -0.738%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 14:50
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:44
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:54
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:35
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 13:35
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 57.79%EV -2.98%E -1.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.37%EV -10.33%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 08:19
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 09:44
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.65%E -0.844%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:34
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 08:19
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:55
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-09 15:33
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:48
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 14:53
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:49
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.53%E -6.27%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 14:54
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:44
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:54
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.41%EV -11.60%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -9.88%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 14:44
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 13:34
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -13.42%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -14.33%E -3.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 12:04
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.56%E -4.42%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 14:44
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 14:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:44
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-12 14:50