L’École des cotes

Rosenborg v Kristiansund BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC

Score final : Rosenborg 3–0 Kristiansund BK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Prévision 59.52%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.35%59.43%59.51%60.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.89%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kristiansund BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.23%5.49cote équitable
EV +0.430%
Avantage +0.078%
Kelly +0.095%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.26%18.28%18.24%19.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.995.005.5122.22%20.04%20.00%18.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.25%4.49cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.322%
Kelly -0.417%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.46%22.29%22.25%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.064.004.4326.67%24.63%25.00%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.70%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.52%EV +0.430%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.79%EV -1.43%E -0.322%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 14:50
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 13:39
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -2.49%E -0.465%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -2.49%E -0.465%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:54
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.19%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 14:54
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -3.40%E -0.641%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 14:54
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.15%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.00%EV -3.76%E -0.713%K -0.879%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.85%EV -3.21%E -0.738%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 14:50
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:44
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.32%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:54
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:35
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 13:35
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 57.79%EV -2.98%E -1.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.37%EV -10.33%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.43%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 08:19
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -5.36%E -3.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 09:44
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.65%E -0.844%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:34
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.55%E -4.17%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 08:19
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:55
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-09 15:33
betano_uk1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 14:48
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 14:53
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:49
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 14:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.53%E -6.27%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 14:54
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:44
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -4.17%E -2.59%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.11%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 14:09
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.77%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:54
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 14:44
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.41%EV -11.60%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -9.88%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 14:44
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.55%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 14:44
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.74%E -4.99%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 14:34
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.51%E -2.61%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.22%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 13:34
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.34%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -13.42%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -14.33%E -3.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 12:04
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -16.16%E -3.51%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.56%E -4.42%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 14:44
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.00%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:35
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-07-12 14:44
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.82%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-07-12 14:50