The School of Odds

Rosenborg v Fredrikstad FK

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Prediction 54.69%1.83fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.10%54.63%54.58%56.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.671.7563%60%60%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fredrikstad FK (Visit)

Prediction 20.57%4.86fair odd
EV -0.670%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%20.63%20.57%22.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.374.504.8327%23%22%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.506%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.93%24.74%24.84%25.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.703.9829%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -4.37%E -0.940%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.44%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 01:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -4.37%E -0.940%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.44%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 01:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 01:20
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 01:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 01:20
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -2.00%E -0.506%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 02:00
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.44%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 01:20
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.95%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 01:20
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:19
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.72%EV -0.670%E -0.139%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.93%EV -1.51%E -0.379%K -0.506%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 01:20
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.00%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -3.34%E -0.711%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 01:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 01:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.44%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 01:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -10.95%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 01:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -12.60%E -2.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 01:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -21.85%E -5.75%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -13.39%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-19 13:35
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -19.80%E -5.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -15.86%E -4.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-20 01:20
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 01:16
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.27%EV -10.31%E -6.29%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.12%EV -18.77%E -4.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 01:19
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.18%EV -10.31%E -6.29%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.54%EV -16.71%E -4.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.28%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-20 01:20
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.67%EV -10.86%E -6.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -15.68%E -3.83%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -13.39%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-20 01:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 01:14
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.71%EV -12.50%E -7.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.49%EV -22.88%E -6.10%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.80%EV -15.86%E -4.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-20 01:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 52.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.62%16.5%2026-07-20 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.97%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.71%183.1%2026-07-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.97%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.71%183.1%2026-07-19 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.97%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.71%183.1%2026-07-19 22:25