Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg v Fredrikstad FK

Kickoff: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rosenborg (Local)

Prediction 62.07%1.61fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.13%62.03%62.08%63.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.83%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visit)

Prediction 16.29%6.14fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.496%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 6.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.97%16.32%16.28%18.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.615.606.3021.05%17.81%17.86%15.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.64%4.62fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.750%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%21.64%21.64%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.214.204.5025.97%23.76%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosenborg (Local): 62.07%; Fredrikstad FK (Visit): 16.29%; Draw: 21.64%. For Fredrikstad FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV +2.63%E +0.417%K +0.496%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 15:40
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV +2.63%E +0.417%K +0.496%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 15:41
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV +1.00%E +0.161%K +0.192%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.79%EV +0.186%E +0.030%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.39%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.83%EV -0.466%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.78%EV -3.92%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.08%EV -2.75%E -0.460%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.750%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:05
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 16:31
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.76%E -5.96%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.67%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 16:48
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 15:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 15:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 16:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -10.00%E -6.90%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.69%E -4.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 15:56
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -13.66%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 15:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -15.29%E -2.94%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -16.92%E -3.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.88%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -22.62%E -4.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.61%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-07-27 16:55