La escuela de los momios

Rosenborg v Fredrikstad FK

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Predicción 55.18%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -4.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.90%55.10%55.20%57.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.681.701.7563.29%59.47%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Predicción 20.46%4.89momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.253%
Kelly +0.318%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.12%20.44%20.46%21.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.454.504.9525.64%22.47%22.22%20.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -0.885%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%24.46%24.34%25.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.713.703.9628.99%26.99%27.03%25.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.23%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.43%EV +1.25%E +0.253%K +0.318%G +0.004%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.34%EV -3.75%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -11.72%E -7.32%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -1.81%E -0.378%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 01:00
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.06%EV -2.63%E -0.553%K -0.700%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -3.50%E -0.885%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 05:10
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.99%EV -2.63%E -0.553%K -0.700%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -3.50%E -0.885%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 17:35
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.81%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -4.88%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -5.94%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 05:04
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 07:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 07:10
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.75%E -3.99%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 17:50
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 17:05
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.51%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 11:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.90%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 01:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 11:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.75%E -3.99%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 17:02
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 00:20
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:00
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:55
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:59
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 12:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 01:20
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 05:12
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 05:09
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 12:35
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 12:35
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.02%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.10%EV -8.36%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 17:49
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.10%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -8.97%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.61%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.24%EV -8.97%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.15%EV -9.11%E -2.44%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 17:05
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 01:20
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 00:15
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 17:04
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -11.43%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 17:49
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 55.13%EV -11.72%E -7.32%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.43%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-21 12:54
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -12.04%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.50%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 07:10
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.51%EV -11.16%E -6.93%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -12.04%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -13.06%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 21:00
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 20:58
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 11:24
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 11:25
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.71%E -4.20%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.56%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -16.13%E -3.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-22 00:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -18.18%E -4.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.67%EV -12.82%E -8.11%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.74%EV -20.22%E -5.19%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.58%EV -15.93%E -4.62%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-22 00:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%3.5%2026-07-26 05:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%3.5%2026-07-26 05:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%3.5%2026-07-26 05:05
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%5.4%2026-07-26 05:05