Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg v Fredrikstad FK

Inicio: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg (Local)

Predicción 62.07%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -4.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.13%62.03%62.08%63.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.83%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Predicción 16.29%6.14momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.417%
Kelly +0.496%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.97%16.32%16.28%18.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.615.606.3021.05%17.81%17.86%15.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.64%4.62momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -0.750%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%21.64%21.64%23.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.214.204.5025.97%23.76%23.81%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rosenborg (Local): 62.07%; Fredrikstad FK (Visitante): 16.29%; Empate: 21.64%. Para Fredrikstad FK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.14. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.63%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV +2.63%E +0.417%K +0.496%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 15:40
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV +2.63%E +0.417%K +0.496%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 15:41
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV +1.00%E +0.161%K +0.192%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.79%EV +0.186%E +0.030%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.39%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.83%EV -0.466%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.78%EV -3.92%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.08%EV -2.75%E -0.460%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.750%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:05
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 16:31
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.76%E -5.96%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.67%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 16:48
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 15:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 15:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 16:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -10.00%E -6.90%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.69%E -4.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 15:56
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -13.66%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 15:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -15.29%E -2.94%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -16.92%E -3.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.88%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -22.62%E -4.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.61%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-07-27 16:55