Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg v Fredrikstad FK

Início: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg (Local)

Previsão 62.07%1.61odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -1.62%
Kelly -4.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.13%62.03%62.08%63.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.83%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Previsão 16.29%6.14odd justa
EV +2.63%
Vantagem +0.417%
Kelly +0.496%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.97%16.32%16.28%18.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.615.606.3021.05%17.81%17.86%15.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.64%4.62odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -0.583%
Kelly -0.750%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.75%21.64%21.64%23.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.214.204.5025.97%23.76%23.81%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rosenborg (Local): 62.07%; Fredrikstad FK (Visitante): 16.29%; Empate: 21.64%. Para Fredrikstad FK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.14. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.63%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV +2.63%E +0.417%K +0.496%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 15:40
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.03%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV +2.63%E +0.417%K +0.496%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 15:41
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV +1.00%E +0.161%K +0.192%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.64%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.79%EV +0.186%E +0.030%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.39%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.83%EV -0.466%E -0.076%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.78%EV -3.92%E -0.883%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.45%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.99%EV -1.44%E -0.239%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.59%EV -3.06%E -0.682%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 16:50
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -2.55%E -1.62%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.08%EV -2.75%E -0.460%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.80%EV -8.90%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.62%E -0.583%K -0.750%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:05
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 16:31
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.76%E -5.96%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.67%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 15:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 16:48
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.30%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 15:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 15:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 16:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 16:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -10.00%E -6.90%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.69%E -4.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.33%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 15:56
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.12%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -13.66%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 15:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -6.89%E -4.60%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.14%E -5.50%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -15.29%E -2.94%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -4.79%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -9.38%E -6.42%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -16.92%E -3.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.88%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -10.62%E -7.37%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -22.62%E -4.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.61%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-07-27 16:55