Language:English
Molde v Vålerenga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Molde (Local)
Prediction 47.16%2.12fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.53%47.17%47.15%49.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.932.0854.64%51.62%51.81%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vålerenga (Visit)
Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -0.754%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%28.05%28.01%29.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.253.303.5035.09%30.76%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.772%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%24.78%24.84%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.703.733.9130.77%27.04%26.85%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 47.16%; Vålerenga (Visit): 28.03%; Draw: 24.80%. For Vålerenga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -1.90%E -0.914%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -1.90%E -0.914%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.58%EV -4.73%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.44%EV -4.73%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -3.01%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.87%EV -4.75%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 09:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.38%EV -3.02%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -4.75%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 21:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 09:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 09:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.50%E -4.38%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -9.45%E -4.92%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 08:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 08:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -11.33%E -6.03%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -11.80%E -6.31%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%EV -11.80%E -6.31%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.31%EV -12.28%E -6.60%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.72%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.63%EV -12.28%E -6.60%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.78%EV -20.11%E -7.05%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.60%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-22 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -13.69%E -7.48%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -19.39%E -5.97%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |