L’École des cotes

Molde v Vålerenga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Molde (Local)

Prévision 47.16%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.914%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.53%47.17%47.15%49.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.932.0854.64%51.62%51.81%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.03%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.538%
Kelly -0.754%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.48%28.05%28.01%29.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.253.303.5035.09%30.76%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.80%4.03cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -0.772%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.63%24.78%24.84%26.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.703.733.9130.77%27.04%26.85%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -1.90%E -0.914%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 08:40
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -1.90%E -0.914%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 08:40
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.58%EV -4.73%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.44%EV -4.73%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:34
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -3.01%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.87%EV -4.75%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 09:20
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.38%EV -3.02%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 12:25
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -4.75%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 09:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:29
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:34
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:30
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 21:19
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 12:35
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 09:18
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 13:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 12:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 09:49
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:34
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 13:18
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 10:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:28
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 08:40
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.50%E -4.38%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 12:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:40
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:40
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:40
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:45
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:45
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -9.45%E -4.92%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-22 21:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 08:43
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 12:34
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 12:30
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 12:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 12:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 08:45
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-24 02:00
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:43
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -11.33%E -6.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -11.80%E -6.31%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:25
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%EV -11.80%E -6.31%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-20 08:40
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.31%EV -12.28%E -6.60%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.72%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.63%EV -12.28%E -6.60%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.78%EV -20.11%E -7.05%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.60%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-22 21:20
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 12:40
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-22 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -13.69%E -7.48%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -19.39%E -5.97%K -8.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 12:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%4.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%4.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%4.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%5.6%2026-04-24 03:50