La escuela de los momiosMolde v Vålerenga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Molde (Local)
Predicción 47.16%2.12momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.914%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.53%47.17%47.15%49.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.932.0854.64%51.62%51.81%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vålerenga (Visitante)
Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%28.05%28.01%29.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.253.303.5035.09%30.76%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.80%4.03momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -0.772%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.63%24.78%24.84%26.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.703.733.9130.77%27.04%26.85%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -1.90%E -0.914%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -1.90%E -0.914%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.58%EV -4.73%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -1.88%E -0.538%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.51%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.44%EV -4.73%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -3.01%E -0.869%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.87%EV -4.75%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 09:20 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.42%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.38%EV -3.02%E -0.772%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-20 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -5.20%E -2.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.81%EV -4.75%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.67%E -2.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 21:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 09:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 09:49 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:28 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.50%E -4.38%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -9.45%E -4.92%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 08:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:30 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:30 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.92%E -5.19%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.49%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 08:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -11.33%E -6.03%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.29%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -11.80%E -6.31%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.69%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.27%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.35%EV -11.80%E -6.31%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-20 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.31%EV -12.28%E -6.60%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.72%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.63%EV -12.28%E -6.60%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.78%EV -20.11%E -7.05%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.60%EV -14.43%E -4.18%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -11.70%E -3.71%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 12:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.10%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -12.75%E -6.89%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -15.90%E -5.30%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-22 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -13.69%E -7.48%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -8.89%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -19.39%E -5.97%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |