The School of Odds

Molde v SK Brann

2026-07-18 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Molde (Local)

Prediction 46.36%2.16fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.38%46.28%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.982.002.0554%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

SK Brann (Visit)

Prediction 28.87%3.46fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.978%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.95%28.88%28.89%30.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.153.123.3535%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%24.74%24.84%26.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.743.9029%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.57%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -3.28%E -0.978%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.93%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 11:59
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.50%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.54%EV -3.56%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.96%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 12:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -5.43%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 10:45
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.39%E -0.869%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 12:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.74%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.39%E -0.869%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 12:00
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.65%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.68%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 10:14
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.30%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -7.35%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 11:59
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.39%E -0.869%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.39%E -0.869%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:15
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:15
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 10:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 10:14
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.16%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 11:59
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.92%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 11:58
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.92%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 10:45
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -8.22%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.05%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 10:14
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.22%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.49%E -3.39%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -8.34%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 10:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.61%E -2.38%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 10:13
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -16.27%E -5.61%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-13 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -10.53%E -5.46%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.72%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-13 10:15
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -11.92%E -6.28%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -11.94%E -3.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 10:14
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.31%EV -12.39%E -6.55%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.89%EV -12.52%E -4.13%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -12.56%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-13 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.63%EV -13.78%E -7.41%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.78%EV -17.71%E -6.21%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.60%EV -14.54%E -4.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-13 10:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 45.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%13.5%2026-07-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 40.55%2.84I 35.21%NM 29.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.04%19.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 40.55%2.84I 35.21%NM 29.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.04%19.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 26.87%1.04I 96.15%NM 53.22%2.78I 35.97%NM 19.91%80.7%2026-07-13 12:00