L’École des cotes

Molde v SK Brann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 16:00 UTC

Score final : Molde 1–2 SK Brann

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Molde (Local)

Prévision 44.04%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.806%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.63%44.18%43.97%46.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.072.052.2352.36%48.36%48.78%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SK Brann (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.95%3.13cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.501%
Kelly +0.731%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.90%31.88%32.05%33.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.933.1837.04%34.25%34.13%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.02%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.315%
Kelly -0.417%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.07%23.94%23.98%25.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.854.1127.78%25.99%25.97%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.90%EV +1.59%E +0.501%K +0.731%G +0.012%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.82%EV -8.02%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 15:55
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.64%EV -6.20%E -2.91%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.47%EV -0.323%E -0.104%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.89%EV -8.26%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 15:35
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -0.962%E -0.310%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 15:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 15:00
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 15:00
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 14:20
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.53%EV -1.80%E -0.806%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.79%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%EV -1.54%E -0.375%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 15:55
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.68%EV -4.44%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.02%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.68%EV -4.44%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.02%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 15:55
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -2.24%E -1.01%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV -1.30%E -0.315%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 15:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 15:50
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 15:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 08:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 12:25
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.03%EV -12.81%E -6.47%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.03%EV -12.81%E -6.47%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.38%EV -12.81%E -6.47%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.66%EV -6.39%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 15:34
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.56%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -8.26%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 15:55
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.75%EV -5.32%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.44%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 15:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.32%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 15:55
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 15:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 15:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 15:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:55
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 15:55
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -9.28%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.96%EV -12.37%E -6.21%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 15:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.99%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:48
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:55
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 15:35
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 13:05
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.02%EV -15.89%E -8.32%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 15:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.32%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 15:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 15:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 15:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 12:25
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 12:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -12.14%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-18 15:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.14%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 15:35
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.60%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.74%E -5.09%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-18 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-18 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-18 15:55
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-18 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-07-18 15:55
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43%1.6%2026-07-18 15:55