La escuela de los momiosMolde v SK Brann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Molde (Local)
Predicción 44.04%2.27momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.806%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.63%44.18%43.97%46.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.052.2352.36%48.36%48.78%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SK Brann (Visitante)
Predicción 31.95%3.13momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.501%
Kelly +0.731%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.90%31.88%32.05%33.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.933.1837.04%34.25%34.13%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.02%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.315%
Kelly -0.417%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.07%23.94%23.98%25.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.853.854.1127.78%25.99%25.97%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.90%EV +1.59%E +0.501%K +0.731%G +0.012% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.82%EV -8.02%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| GTbets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.64%EV -6.20%E -2.91%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.47%EV -0.323%E -0.104%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.89%EV -8.26%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 15:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -0.962%E -0.310%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.05%E -5.47%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-16 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -4.16%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.53%EV -1.80%E -0.806%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.79%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%EV -1.54%E -0.375%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.68%EV -4.44%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.02%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.68%EV -4.44%E -2.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.02%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -2.24%E -1.01%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.82%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV -1.30%E -0.315%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 08:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.03%EV -12.81%E -6.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.03%EV -12.81%E -6.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.38%EV -12.81%E -6.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.66%EV -6.39%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.56%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -8.26%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.75%EV -5.32%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.44%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.32%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.34%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.06%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 15:35 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 15:54 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -9.28%E -4.51%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.96%EV -12.37%E -6.21%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -7.35%E -2.54%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 15:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.99%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 15:48 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-18 13:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.02%EV -15.89%E -8.32%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.95%E -3.14%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -5.32%E -2.47%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.94%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.55%E -3.77%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -12.14%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.14%E -4.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-18 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.60%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.74%E -5.09%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-18 12:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 1.6% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |