Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 9.74
assuming max odds 6.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 72.57%; KFUM (Visit): 11.30%; Draw: 16.13%. For KFUM (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.85. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.03%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.47%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.75%EV +10.03%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.115% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 10.16%EV +7.88%E +0.826%K +0.922%G +0.073% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.78%EV -0.811%E -0.132%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 9.11I 10.98%NM 10.47%EV +2.91%E +0.320%K +0.359%G +0.010% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.17%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +2.80%E +0.308%K +0.346%G +0.010% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.13%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +2.80%E +0.308%K +0.346%G +0.010% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.13%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.44%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV +0.541%E +0.061%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.12%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 8.58I 11.66%NM 11.01%EV -3.07%E -0.358%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.80%E -0.824%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -6.80%E -0.824%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 04:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.62%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.12%EV -10.73%E -8.73%K -46.66%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.88%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -12.45%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.31%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.92%EV -14.14%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -12.91%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.31%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.08%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.92%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -18.10%E -2.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.48%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 14:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.32%EV -18.66%E -2.59%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -14.52%E -2.74%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -17.75%E -3.48%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.84%EV -8.56%E -6.79%K -32.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -23.75%E -3.52%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.43% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |