Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Molde v KFUM

Inizio: 2026-09-06 15:01 UTC

Finale: Molde 2–0 KFUM

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Molde (Casa)

Previsione 72.57%1.38quota equa
EV -4.93%
Vantaggio -3.76%
Kelly -15.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.41%72.40%72.36%74.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.271.271.3182.64%78.59%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

KFUM (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.30%8.85quota equa
EV +10.03%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescita +0.115%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.75%11.35%11.47%13.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.758.198.209.7414.81%12.21%12.20%10.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 16.13%6.20quota equa
EV -0.811%
Vantaggio -0.132%
Kelly -0.157%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.31%16.25%16.17%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.655.756.1520.00%17.69%17.39%16.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Molde (Casa): 72.57%; KFUM (Trasferta): 11.30%; Pareggio: 16.13%. Per KFUM (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.85. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.03%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.47%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.75%EV +10.03%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.115%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.16%EV +7.88%E +0.826%K +0.922%G +0.073%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.78%EV -0.811%E -0.132%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%9.11I 10.98%NM 10.47%EV +2.91%E +0.320%K +0.359%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.17%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +2.80%E +0.308%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.13%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +2.80%E +0.308%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.13%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.44%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV +0.541%E +0.061%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:45
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.12%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%8.58I 11.66%NM 11.01%EV -3.07%E -0.358%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:54
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:55
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.80%E -0.824%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -6.80%E -0.824%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 04:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.62%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 14:50
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.12%EV -10.73%E -8.73%K -46.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.88%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -12.45%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.31%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.92%EV -14.14%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -12.91%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.31%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.92%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -18.10%E -2.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.48%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 14:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.32%EV -18.66%E -2.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -14.52%E -2.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -17.75%E -3.48%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 14:00
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 14:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.84%EV -8.56%E -6.79%K -32.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -23.75%E -3.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.43%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-09-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.4%2026-09-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.4%2026-09-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.4%2026-09-06 14:50
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-09-06 14:55