Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Molde v KFUM

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 15:01 UTC

Score final : Molde 2–0 KFUM

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Molde (Local)

Prévision 72.57%1.38cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -3.76%
Kelly -15.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.41%72.40%72.36%74.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.271.271.3182.64%78.59%78.74%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KFUM (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.30%8.85cote équitable
EV +10.03%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.115%

avec la cote maximale 9.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.75%11.35%11.47%13.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.758.198.209.7414.81%12.21%12.20%10.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.13%6.20cote équitable
EV -0.811%
Avantage -0.132%
Kelly -0.157%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.31%16.25%16.17%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.655.756.1520.00%17.69%17.39%16.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Molde (Local) : 72.57% ; KFUM (Visiteur) : 11.30% ; Match nul : 16.13%. Pour KFUM (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.85. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.74, soit une espérance positive de +10.03%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.47%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.75%EV +10.03%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.115%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.78%EV -13.87%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.16%EV +7.88%E +0.826%K +0.922%G +0.073%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.78%EV -0.811%E -0.132%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.37%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%9.11I 10.98%NM 10.47%EV +2.91%E +0.320%K +0.359%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.17%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:55
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +2.80%E +0.308%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.13%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +2.80%E +0.308%K +0.346%G +0.010%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -16.13%E -3.10%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.11%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.43%EV -1.62%E -0.265%K -0.317%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.67%E +0.186%K +0.209%G +0.003%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.44%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV +0.541%E +0.061%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:45
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.12%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%8.58I 11.66%NM 11.01%EV -3.07%E -0.358%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:54
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:55
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.98%E -0.468%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.80%E -0.824%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -6.80%E -0.824%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -6.46%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -7.37%E -0.898%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.23%E -0.538%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 04:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:50
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.62%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 14:50
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -19.36%E -3.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.12%EV -10.73%E -8.73%K -46.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.88%EV -10.01%E -8.07%K -41.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.14%EV -12.18%E -10.07%K -58.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.06%EV -9.63%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.59%EV -4.93%E -3.76%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -12.45%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.26%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.31%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.92%EV -14.14%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -12.91%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.31%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.46%E -9.39%K -52.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -15.27%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -11.29%E -2.05%K -2.51%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.92%EV -7.83%E -6.17%K -29.00%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.60%EV -18.10%E -2.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.48%EV -4.84%E -0.821%K -0.988%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 14:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -9.28%E -7.43%K -37.13%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.32%EV -18.66%E -2.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -14.52%E -2.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -5.65%E -4.35%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -17.75%E -3.48%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 14:00
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.38%E -4.94%K -21.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 14:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.10%E -5.55%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -20.92%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.33%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.84%EV -8.56%E -6.79%K -32.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -23.75%E -3.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -9.68%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.43%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.10%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.0%2026-09-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.4%2026-09-06 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.4%2026-09-06 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.60%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%1.4%2026-09-06 14:50
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-09-06 14:55