赔率学院

Lillestrom v Sarpsborg FK

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 12:30 UTC

最终结果: Lillestrom 4–0 Sarpsborg FK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Lillestrom (主队)

预测 53.14%1.88公平赔率
EV -3.82%
优势 -2.11%
Kelly -4.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布
51.15%53.23%53.19%55.84%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.571.711.731.8163.69%58.48%57.97%55.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

Sarpsborg FK (客队)

预测 24.20%4.13公平赔率
EV +2.85%
优势 +0.670%
Kelly +0.876%
增长率 +0.025%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布
21.38%24.14%24.25%25.73%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.403.913.904.2529.41%25.60%25.64%23.53%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 22.66%4.41公平赔率
EV -0.285%
优势 -0.065%
Kelly -0.084%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.87%22.62%22.57%25.12%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.404.014.004.4029.41%24.96%25.00%22.73%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:51
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:56
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:51
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:51
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.39%EV -13.92%E -8.59%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:50
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.84%EV -16.57%E -10.56%K -29.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.98%EV -1.99%E -0.492%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV -0.285%E -0.065%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 09:10
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.18%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.76%EV -4.14%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 12:06
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -10.20%E -6.03%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:55
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 12:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.34%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -4.90%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -0.965%E -0.221%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:20
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:26
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:26
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 05:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:05
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:24
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:25
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 12:24
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:26
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 11:11
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 05:30
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:06
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.74%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.58%EV -12.07%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.17%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.95%E -6.75%K -9.56%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:26
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 11:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-03 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-03 12:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-05-03 12:15