La escuela de los momiosLillestrom v Sarpsborg FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lillestrom (Local)
Predicción 53.14%1.88momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -4.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.15%53.23%53.19%55.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.711.731.8163.69%58.48%57.97%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)
Predicción 24.20%4.13momio equitativo
EV +2.85%
Ventaja +0.670%
Kelly +0.876%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%24.14%24.25%25.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.913.904.2529.41%25.60%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.66%4.41momio equitativo
EV -0.285%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.084%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.87%22.62%22.57%25.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.014.004.4029.41%24.96%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:56 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:51 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:51 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.39%EV -13.92%E -8.59%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.84%EV -16.57%E -10.56%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.98%EV -1.99%E -0.492%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV -0.285%E -0.065%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.18%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.76%EV -4.14%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -10.20%E -6.03%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.34%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -4.90%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -0.965%E -0.221%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 05:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 11:11 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 05:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.74%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.58%EV -12.07%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.17%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.95%E -6.75%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 11:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 12:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |