L’École des cotesLillestrom v Sarpsborg FK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lillestrom (Local)
Prévision 53.14%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.15%53.23%53.19%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.731.8163.69%58.48%57.97%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.20%4.13cote équitable
EV +2.85%
Avantage +0.670%
Kelly +0.876%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%24.14%24.25%25.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.913.904.2529.41%25.60%25.64%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.66%4.41cote équitable
EV -0.285%
Avantage -0.065%
Kelly -0.084%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%22.62%22.57%25.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.014.004.4029.41%24.96%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:51 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:56 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:51 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 11:51 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.39%EV -13.92%E -8.59%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.84%EV -16.57%E -10.56%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.98%EV -1.99%E -0.492%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV -0.285%E -0.065%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.18%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.76%EV -4.14%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -10.20%E -6.03%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.34%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -4.90%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -0.965%E -0.221%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 05:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 11:11 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 05:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.74%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.58%EV -12.07%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.17%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.95%E -6.75%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-03 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-03 11:26 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 11:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 12:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |