مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lillestrom v Sarpsborg FK

البداية: 2026-05-03 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lillestrom 4–0 Sarpsborg FK

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lillestrom (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.14%1.88السعر العادل
EV -3.82%
الأفضلية -2.11%
Kelly -4.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.15%53.23%53.19%55.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.711.731.8163.69%58.48%57.97%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sarpsborg FK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.20%4.13السعر العادل
EV +2.85%
الأفضلية +0.670%
Kelly +0.876%
النمو +0.025%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.38%24.14%24.25%25.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.913.904.2529.41%25.60%25.64%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.66%4.41السعر العادل
EV -0.285%
الأفضلية -0.065%
Kelly -0.084%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.87%22.62%22.57%25.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.014.004.4029.41%24.96%25.00%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:51
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:56
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:50
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:51
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV +2.85%E +0.670%K +0.876%G +0.025%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:51
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -12.85%E -7.84%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV +1.64%E +0.390%K +0.512%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.39%EV -13.92%E -8.59%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:50
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.84%EV -16.57%E -10.56%K -29.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -0.782%E -0.191%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.95%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.98%EV -1.99%E -0.492%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%EV -0.285%E -0.065%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 09:10
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.18%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.76%EV -4.14%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 12:06
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -10.20%E -6.03%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.20%E -0.800%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:55
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.63%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 12:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.34%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -4.90%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -0.965%E -0.221%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:20
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.41%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:26
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:26
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.68%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 05:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 12:05
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:24
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:25
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.54%E -4.33%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:25
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 12:24
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:26
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 11:11
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 05:30
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:55
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.82%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:06
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.74%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.58%EV -12.07%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 12:05
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.45%EV -8.07%E -4.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.17%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.67%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.95%E -6.75%K -9.56%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -14.09%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -11.62%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:26
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 11:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-03 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-03 12:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-05-03 12:15