Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lillestrom v Rosenborg

2026-08-09 12:30 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lillestrom (Local)

Previsão 39.99%2.50odd justa
EV -4.03%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.46%40.00%39.89%41.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.282.302.4046.51%43.86%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Previsão 33.42%2.99odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.46%33.43%33.53%34.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.532.762.792.8739.53%36.21%35.84%34.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.59%3.76odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.432%
Kelly -0.592%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.94%26.57%26.58%27.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.233.433.403.7030.96%29.14%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lillestrom (Local): 39.99%; Rosenborg (Visitante): 33.42%; Empate: 26.59%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.76. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.70, com valor esperado de -1.60%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.78%EV -4.03%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.37%EV -3.73%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.03%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:40
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.03%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:39
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.15%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.30%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:59
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.39%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.60%E -0.432%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:44
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 19:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 18:45
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.83%E -3.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 20:10
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.46%EV -9.23%E -4.06%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.51%EV -15.45%E -6.11%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.03%EV -14.10%E -4.36%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 18:48
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:49
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 18:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 18:49
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -10.83%E -4.86%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 18:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 18:50
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -12.83%E -5.88%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.57%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.12%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 18:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.12%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.09%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 40.45%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%13.4%2026-08-02 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 28.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 41.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 29.19%129.9%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 28.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 41.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 29.19%129.9%2026-08-02 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 28.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 41.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 29.19%129.9%2026-08-02 19:50