Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lillestrom v Rosenborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 12:31 UTC

Score final : Lillestrom 0–2 Rosenborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lillestrom (Local)

Prévision 37.91%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.554%
Kelly -0.901%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.08%37.97%37.89%39.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.402.402.6045.87%41.75%41.67%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rosenborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.63%2.81cote équitable
EV -0.959%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.539%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.97%35.72%35.61%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.622.602.7842.02%38.22%38.46%35.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.573%
Avantage +0.151%
Kelly +0.205%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.84%26.32%26.51%27.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.503.8031.25%28.79%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lillestrom (Local) : 37.91% ; Rosenborg (Visiteur) : 35.63% ; Match nul : 26.47%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.573%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.25%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.25%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.573%E +0.151%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-09 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.750%E -0.200%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.11%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.09%EV -1.81%E -0.488%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.560%K -0.768%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:45
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:45
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.10%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.50%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:35
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -0.959%E -0.345%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.65%EV -5.78%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.47%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.47%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:29
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.47%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:04
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:29
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -10.92%E -4.65%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -7.02%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:25
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 11:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:39
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.64%EV -14.71%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.53%EV -15.21%E -6.39%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-09 11:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 12:05
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.92%E -4.65%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 12:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:55
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 12:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 12:15
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 15:14
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.17%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.98%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 12:29
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -14.71%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -14.71%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.17%EV -17.36%E -7.96%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.15%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-08 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-08-09 12:25
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.4%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.44%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%2.7%2026-08-09 12:30
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31%3.1%2026-08-09 12:30