Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lillestrom v Rosenborg

2026-08-09 12:30 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lillestrom (Local)

Prévision 39.99%2.50cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -2.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.46%40.00%39.89%41.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.302.4046.51%43.86%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rosenborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.46%33.43%33.53%34.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.532.762.792.8739.53%36.21%35.84%34.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.432%
Kelly -0.592%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.94%26.57%26.58%27.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.233.433.403.7030.96%29.14%29.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lillestrom (Local) : 39.99% ; Rosenborg (Visiteur) : 33.42% ; Match nul : 26.59%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.76. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.70, pour une espérance de -1.60% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.78%EV -4.03%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.37%EV -3.73%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.03%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:40
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.03%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:39
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.15%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.30%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:59
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.39%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.23%E -3.12%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:09
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.60%E -0.432%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 20:09
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:44
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 19:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 18:45
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.83%E -3.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 20:10
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.46%EV -9.23%E -4.06%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.51%EV -15.45%E -6.11%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.03%EV -14.10%E -4.36%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 18:48
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:49
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 18:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 18:49
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.25%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.91%E -3.26%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -10.83%E -4.86%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 18:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 18:50
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.35%EV -12.83%E -5.88%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.57%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.12%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.58%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 18:35
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.12%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.09%EV -14.03%E -6.52%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -14.79%E -5.80%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 40.45%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%13.4%2026-08-02 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 28.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 41.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 29.19%129.9%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 28.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 41.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 29.19%129.9%2026-08-02 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 28.99%1.04I 96.15%NM 41.82%1.49I 67.11%NM 29.19%129.9%2026-08-02 19:50