Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lillestrom v Rosenborg

Inizio: 2026-08-09 12:31 UTC

Finale: Lillestrom 0–2 Rosenborg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lillestrom (Casa)

Previsione 37.91%2.64quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.554%
Kelly -0.901%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.08%37.97%37.89%39.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.182.402.402.6045.87%41.75%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Rosenborg (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.63%2.81quota equa
EV -0.959%
Vantaggio -0.345%
Kelly -0.539%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.97%35.72%35.61%37.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.622.602.7842.02%38.22%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.47%3.78quota equa
EV +0.573%
Vantaggio +0.151%
Kelly +0.205%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.84%26.32%26.51%27.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.473.503.8031.25%28.79%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Lillestrom (Casa): 37.91%; Rosenborg (Trasferta): 35.63%; Pareggio: 26.47%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.78. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.573%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.25%EV -1.44%E -0.554%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.25%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.573%E +0.151%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-09 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.750%E -0.200%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -2.96%E -1.16%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.11%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.09%EV -1.81%E -0.488%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.560%K -0.768%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:45
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:45
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.10%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.50%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:35
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -0.959%E -0.345%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.65%EV -5.78%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.47%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.47%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:29
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -4.47%E -1.78%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -4.52%E -1.69%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 12:30
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:04
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 12:05
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:29
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -10.92%E -4.65%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -2.03%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -5.99%E -2.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -7.02%E -2.69%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:25
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 11:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 09:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:39
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.64%EV -14.71%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.53%EV -15.21%E -6.39%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-09 11:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 12:05
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.92%E -4.65%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -14.50%E -6.04%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 12:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.23%E -2.09%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:55
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.13%E -2.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.66%E -2.54%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.15%E -3.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 12:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.02%E -3.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 12:15
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 15:14
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -5.59%E -2.11%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 15:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.17%EV -8.26%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.98%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 12:29
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -13.57%E -5.95%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.34%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.81%E -5.57%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 09:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.78%E -4.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -14.71%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -14.71%E -6.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -7.37%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.66%E -3.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.17%EV -17.36%E -7.96%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.15%EV -10.93%E -4.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.68%EV -15.31%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-08 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-08-09 12:25
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.58%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.4%2026-08-09 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.44%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04%2.7%2026-08-09 12:30
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31%3.1%2026-08-09 12:30