默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lillestrom v Fredrikstad FK

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC

最终结果: Lillestrom 1–4 Fredrikstad FK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lillestrom (主队)

预测 54.48%1.84公平赔率
EV +0.784%
优势 +0.424%
Kelly +0.923%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
52.34%54.41%54.59%55.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.701.701.8561.73%58.87%58.82%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fredrikstad FK (客队)

预测 20.96%4.77公平赔率
EV +1.43%
优势 +0.295%
Kelly +0.372%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 4.84

博彩公司预测分布
19.96%20.99%20.83%22.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.954.374.404.8425.32%22.86%22.73%20.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.57%4.07公平赔率
EV -1.00%
优势 -0.248%
Kelly -0.330%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.03

博彩公司预测分布
23.31%24.59%24.58%26.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.743.804.0328.57%26.73%26.32%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Lillestrom (主队):54.48%;Fredrikstad FK (客队):20.96%;平局:24.57%。 对于“Fredrikstad FK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.77。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.84,对应+1.43%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.45%EV +0.784%E +0.424%K +0.923%G +0.007%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.96%EV -2.97%E -0.642%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 11:20
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.56%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.79%EV -6.41%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 07:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.96%EV +1.43%E +0.295%K +0.372%G +0.005%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -4.44%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -14.08%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:04
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.95%EV -5.07%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.55%EV -1.00%E -0.248%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -14.08%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.93%E -4.69%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.93%E -4.69%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.74%E -0.435%K -0.579%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.21%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -17.22%E -4.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 16:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -10.66%E -6.50%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.49%EV -10.66%E -6.50%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.75%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 17:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-30 17:10
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-08-30 17:10