StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lillestrom v Fredrikstad FK

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Lillestrom 1–4 Fredrikstad FK

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Lillestrom (Hemma)

Prognos 54.48%1.84rättvist odds
EV +0.784%
Fördel +0.424%
Kelly +0.923%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.34%54.41%54.59%55.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.701.701.8561.73%58.87%58.82%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Borta)

Prognos 20.96%4.77rättvist odds
EV +1.43%
Fördel +0.295%
Kelly +0.372%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.84

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.96%20.99%20.83%22.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.954.374.404.8425.32%22.86%22.73%20.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.57%4.07rättvist odds
EV -1.00%
Fördel -0.248%
Kelly -0.330%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.31%24.59%24.58%26.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.743.804.0328.57%26.73%26.32%24.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Lillestrom (Hemma): 54.48%; Fredrikstad FK (Borta): 20.96%; Oavgjort: 24.57%. För Fredrikstad FK (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.77. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.84, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.43%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.45%EV +0.784%E +0.424%K +0.923%G +0.007%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.96%EV -2.97%E -0.642%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 11:20
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.56%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.79%EV -6.41%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 07:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.96%EV +1.43%E +0.295%K +0.372%G +0.005%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -4.44%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -14.08%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:04
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.95%EV -5.07%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.55%EV -1.00%E -0.248%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -14.08%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.93%E -4.69%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.93%E -4.69%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.74%E -0.435%K -0.579%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.21%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -17.22%E -4.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 16:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -10.66%E -6.50%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.49%EV -10.66%E -6.50%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.75%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-30 17:10
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-08-30 17:10