Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Lillestrom v Fredrikstad FK

Początek: 2026-08-30 17:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Lillestrom 1–4 Fredrikstad FK

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Lillestrom (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 54.48%1.84kurs godziwy
EV +0.784%
Przewaga +0.424%
Kelly +0.923%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.34%54.41%54.59%55.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.701.701.8561.73%58.87%58.82%54.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fredrikstad FK (Goście)

Prognoza 20.96%4.77kurs godziwy
EV +1.43%
Przewaga +0.295%
Kelly +0.372%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.84

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.96%20.99%20.83%22.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.954.374.404.8425.32%22.86%22.73%20.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.57%4.07kurs godziwy
EV -1.00%
Przewaga -0.248%
Kelly -0.330%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.03

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.31%24.59%24.58%26.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.743.804.0328.57%26.73%26.32%24.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Lillestrom (Gospodarze): 54.48%; Fredrikstad FK (Goście): 20.96%; Remis: 24.57%. Dla wyniku Fredrikstad FK (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.77. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.84, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.43%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.45%EV +0.784%E +0.424%K +0.923%G +0.007%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.96%EV -2.97%E -0.642%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 11:20
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -4.12%E -2.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.56%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.79%EV -6.41%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 07:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.96%EV +1.43%E +0.295%K +0.372%G +0.005%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -4.44%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.21%E -2.99%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.84%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -5.75%E -3.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -14.08%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:05
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:04
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.95%EV -5.07%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.55%EV -1.00%E -0.248%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -1.50%E -0.320%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 19:10
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 16:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -14.08%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.93%E -4.69%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.93%E -4.69%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.74%E -0.435%K -0.579%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.70%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.89%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.21%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -17.22%E -4.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -8.84%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -9.26%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 16:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.60%E -0.783%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -10.66%E -6.50%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.49%EV -10.66%E -6.50%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -10.94%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.34%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -11.20%E -6.87%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-27 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.75%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-30 17:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-30 17:10
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-08-30 17:10