Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK v Molde

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 2–1 Molde

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.387%
Kelly +0.483%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 5.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.06%20.16%20.21%22.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.524.605.0625.00%22.10%21.74%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 56.88%1.76fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.09%56.89%56.88%58.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.621.631.7066.23%61.67%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.502%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%22.95%22.91%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.994.004.2627.03%25.04%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kristiansund BK (Local): 20.15%; Molde (Visit): 56.88%; Draw: 22.97%. For Kristiansund BK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 19.06%EV +1.96%E +0.387%K +0.483%G +0.009%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.09%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.85%EV -3.06%E -0.724%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Coolbet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.42%EV -0.257%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.55%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 07:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -2.27%E -0.469%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.29%E -4.47%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -8.57%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:00
1xBet🎯4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV -2.88%E -0.597%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.31%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:10
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.17%EV -9.56%E -6.02%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:59
GTbets🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 20.08%EV -3.48%E -0.727%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.91%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.01%EV -3.98%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 17:05
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 16:10
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -6.30%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 17:10
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -6.30%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 17:10
BetAnything🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 17:10
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:59
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.52%E -0.837%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 16:50
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 15:20
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 17:00
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:30
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.43%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -3.52%E -0.837%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:44
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 16:49
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 17:03
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.90%EV -11.27%E -7.22%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.85%EV -9.56%E -6.02%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 16:49
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.29%E -4.47%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.85%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -8.43%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:49
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.56%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 08:24
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -12.35%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -12.35%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:49
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -13.35%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -10.13%E -6.41%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -3.52%E -0.837%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -14.36%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.37%E -0.557%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:10
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -11.27%E -7.22%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.34%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.57%EV -14.11%E -9.35%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -15.00%E -4.05%K -5.56%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-09 08:24
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -19.40%E -4.85%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.09%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 17:05
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -19.40%E -4.85%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -12.98%E -8.48%K -24.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-09 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-08-09 17:10

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.