Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK v Molde

2026-08-09 17:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV +4.19%
Edge +0.870%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 4.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.76%21.85%21.72%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.003.904.8128.17%24.99%25.64%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 53.14%1.88fair odd
EV -0.622%
Edge -0.332%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.06%53.02%53.13%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.751.8760.61%56.45%57.14%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV +0.785%
Edge +0.196%
Kelly +0.262%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.26%25.14%25.14%25.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.383.683.704.0029.59%27.15%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kristiansund BK (Local): 21.66%; Molde (Visit): 53.14%; Draw: 25.20%. For Kristiansund BK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.81, producing a positive expected value of +4.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle4.81I 20.79%NM 19.76%EV +4.19%E +0.870%K +1.10%G +0.046%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.62%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 18:50
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.363%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:14
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.363%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:15
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -2.53%E -0.562%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.40%E -3.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:55
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.10%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:55
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:55
Betsson4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:50
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 18:05
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.59%E -5.00%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 20:05
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.16%EV -12.31%E -7.46%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -14.84%E -4.39%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 17:59
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:00
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.59%E -5.00%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%7.1%2026-08-02 17:40
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%7.5%2026-08-02 17:58
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.94%E -3.35%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 17:44
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.73%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:39
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 17:40
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 17:49
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.48%EV -11.25%E -6.74%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 17:55
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:34
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 18:00
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.72%E -6.38%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 17:54
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -18.77%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -1.68%E -0.911%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 17:34
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -18.77%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -1.68%E -0.911%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 17:35
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -18.77%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 17:35
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -3.81%E -2.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -3.81%E -2.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 17:34
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.19%EV -11.78%E -7.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 18:00
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.25%E -6.74%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 17:40
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -23.11%E -6.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.18%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.19%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%13.4%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Arbitrage (28 combinations) +0.74%Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%) / Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.9%) / FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)Show all 28 combinations
Kristiansund BK (Local)Molde (Visit)DrawMargin
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)BetRivers 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)BetRivers 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)LeoVegas (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)LeoVegas (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Casumo 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Casumo 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Svenska Spel 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Svenska Spel 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)ATG (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)ATG (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)betPARX 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)betPARX 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Grosvenor 1.85 (54.1%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Grosvenor 1.85 (54.1%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet 1.85 (54.1%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet 1.85 (54.1%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)BetRivers 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet (SE) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)LeoVegas (SE) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Casumo 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Svenska Spel 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)ATG (SE) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)betPARX 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%