Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kristiansund BK v Molde

2026-08-09 17:15 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prévision 21.66%4.62cote équitable
EV +4.19%
Avantage +0.870%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 4.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.76%21.85%21.72%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.554.003.904.8128.17%24.99%25.64%20.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.14%1.88cote équitable
EV -0.622%
Avantage -0.332%
Kelly -0.715%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.06%53.02%53.13%54.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.751.8760.61%56.45%57.14%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.20%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.785%
Avantage +0.196%
Kelly +0.262%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.26%25.14%25.14%25.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.383.683.704.0029.59%27.15%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kristiansund BK (Local) : 21.66% ; Molde (Visiteur) : 53.14% ; Match nul : 25.20%. Pour Kristiansund BK (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.62. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.81, pour une espérance positive de +4.19%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.81I 20.79%NM 19.76%EV +4.19%E +0.870%K +1.10%G +0.046%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.62%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 18:50
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.363%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:14
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.363%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:15
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -2.53%E -0.562%K -0.723%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.40%E -3.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:55
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -4.70%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.10%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:55
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:55
Betsson4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -4.34%E -2.41%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:50
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -6.21%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 18:05
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.59%E -5.00%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 20:05
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -9.03%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.16%EV -12.31%E -7.46%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -14.84%E -4.39%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 17:59
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.74%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:00
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.19%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.59%E -5.00%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%7.1%2026-08-02 17:40
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.53%E -4.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%7.5%2026-08-02 17:58
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.94%E -3.35%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 17:44
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.73%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 17:39
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -13.36%E -3.34%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.06%E -4.66%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 17:40
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 17:49
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.53%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.48%EV -11.25%E -6.74%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 17:55
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:34
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -0.622%E -0.332%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:35
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.66%E -5.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 18:00
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -17.69%E -4.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -10.72%E -6.38%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 17:54
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -18.77%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -1.68%E -0.911%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 17:34
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -18.77%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -1.68%E -0.911%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 17:35
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -18.77%E -5.01%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 17:35
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -3.81%E -2.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.20%EV -3.81%E -2.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 17:34
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -19.86%E -5.37%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.19%EV -11.78%E -7.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 18:00
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -22.02%E -6.12%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.25%E -6.74%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 17:40
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -23.11%E -6.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.18%EV -7.00%E -4.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.19%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%13.4%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 18:00
Arbitrage (28 combinaisons) +0.74%Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%) / Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.9%) / FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)Afficher les 28 combinaisons
Kristiansund BK (Local)Molde (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)BetRivers 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)BetRivers 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Unibet (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)LeoVegas (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)LeoVegas (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Casumo 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Casumo 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Svenska Spel 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)Svenska Spel 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)ATG (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)ATG (SE) 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)betPARX 1.87 (53.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.9%)betPARX 1.87 (53.9%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.2%)+0.739%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Grosvenor 1.85 (54.1%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Grosvenor 1.85 (54.1%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet 1.85 (54.1%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet 1.85 (54.1%)FanDuel 4.00 (25.0%)+0.156%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet (NL) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)BetRivers 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Unibet (SE) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)LeoVegas (SE) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Casumo 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)Svenska Spel 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)ATG (SE) 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%
Pinnacle 4.81 (20.8%)betPARX 1.87 (53.5%)SportsBet 3.90 (25.7%)+0.093%