Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kristiansund BK v Molde

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC

Score final : Kristiansund BK 2–1 Molde

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prévision 20.15%4.96cote équitable
EV +1.96%
Avantage +0.387%
Kelly +0.483%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.06%20.16%20.21%22.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.524.605.0625.00%22.10%21.74%19.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.88%1.76cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -4.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.09%56.89%56.88%58.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.621.631.7066.23%61.67%61.35%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.97%4.35cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.502%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.58%22.95%22.91%24.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.994.004.2627.03%25.04%25.00%23.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kristiansund BK (Local) : 20.15% ; Molde (Visiteur) : 56.88% ; Match nul : 22.97%. Pour Kristiansund BK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.96. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.06, soit une espérance positive de +1.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 19.06%EV +1.96%E +0.387%K +0.483%G +0.009%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.09%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.85%EV -3.06%E -0.724%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Coolbet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.42%EV -0.257%E -0.052%K -0.065%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.55%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 07:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -2.27%E -0.469%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.29%E -4.47%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -8.57%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:00
1xBet🎯4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV -2.88%E -0.597%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.96%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.31%EV -2.14%E -0.502%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:10
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.17%EV -9.56%E -6.02%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:59
GTbets🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 20.08%EV -3.48%E -0.727%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.91%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.01%EV -3.98%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 17:05
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.29%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 16:10
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -6.30%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 17:10
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -6.30%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 17:10
BetAnything🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 17:10
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:59
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.52%E -0.837%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -6.72%E -4.10%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 08:24
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 16:50
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 15:20
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -7.31%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 17:00
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.15%E -3.73%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:30
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -8.43%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -3.52%E -0.837%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:44
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 16:49
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 17:03
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 17:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.90%EV -11.27%E -7.22%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.85%EV -9.56%E -6.02%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 16:49
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -7.29%E -4.47%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.85%E -3.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -8.43%E -5.23%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:49
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.67%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.56%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 08:24
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -12.35%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -12.35%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 08:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.00%E -5.62%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.41%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:49
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -10.70%E -6.82%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.70%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -13.35%E -3.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -10.13%E -6.41%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -3.52%E -0.837%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -14.36%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -2.37%E -0.557%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:10
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -11.27%E -7.22%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -5.81%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.34%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 56.57%EV -14.11%E -9.35%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -15.00%E -4.05%K -5.56%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-09 08:24
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -19.40%E -4.85%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.09%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -9.26%E -2.34%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 17:05
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -19.40%E -4.85%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -12.98%E -8.48%K -24.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -8.11%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-09 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-09 17:10
Smarkets◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-08-09 17:10