Language:English
KFUM v Sarpsborg FK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KFUM (Local)
Prediction 41.20%2.43fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%41.29%41.23%43.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.192.202.3149.50%45.71%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sarpsborg FK (Visit)
Prediction 33.48%2.99fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.689%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%33.32%33.48%34.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.773.0539.22%35.51%36.10%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%25.40%25.29%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.523.9029.85%27.98%28.37%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KFUM (Local): 41.20%; Sarpsborg FK (Visit): 33.48%; Draw: 25.33%. For Sarpsborg FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -14.31%E -6.88%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -14.31%E -6.88%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -14.72%E -7.11%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -1.25%E -0.422%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV -1.23%E -0.314%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -16.78%E -8.31%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.48%E -2.86%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.38%EV -5.26%E -1.86%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.99%EV -4.27%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.29%EV -4.83%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.94%EV -5.93%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.647%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-20 04:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.11%EV -8.95%E -4.05%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.43%E -5.31%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.43%E -5.31%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.55%E -7.58%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -14.72%E -7.11%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.15%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.20%EV -13.38%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.97%EV -15.55%E -7.58%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.94%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -13.49%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -14.64%E -5.74%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-23 17:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.18% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.99% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |