Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KFUM v Sarpsborg FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KFUM (Local)

Prévision 41.20%2.43cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.89%41.29%41.23%43.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.192.202.3149.50%45.71%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.48%2.99cote équitable
EV +2.10%
Avantage +0.689%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%33.32%33.48%34.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.822.773.0539.22%35.51%36.10%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -0.423%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.15%25.40%25.29%26.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.523.9029.85%27.98%28.37%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KFUM (Local) : 41.20% ; Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur) : 33.48% ; Match nul : 25.33%. Pour Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +2.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -14.31%E -6.88%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -14.31%E -6.88%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -14.72%E -7.11%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -1.25%E -0.422%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV -1.23%E -0.314%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -16.78%E -8.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 15:05
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:50
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:50
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.48%E -2.86%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.38%EV -5.26%E -1.86%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.99%EV -4.27%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 00:14
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.29%EV -4.83%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.94%EV -5.93%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.647%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:49
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 02:00
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:39
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:09
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 13:18
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:44
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 04:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.11%EV -8.95%E -4.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:04
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.43%E -5.31%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 17:50
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 17:44
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.43%E -5.31%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 11:09
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.55%E -7.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-21 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -14.72%E -7.11%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.15%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.20%EV -13.38%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.97%EV -15.55%E -7.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.94%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -13.49%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -14.64%E -5.74%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%4.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%4.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%4.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 39.18%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%9.1%2026-04-23 16:14