La escuela de los momios

KFUM v Sarpsborg FK

Inicio: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KFUM (Local)

Predicción 41.20%2.43momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%41.29%41.23%43.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.192.202.3149.50%45.71%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)

Predicción 33.48%2.99momio equitativo
EV +2.10%
Ventaja +0.689%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%33.32%33.48%34.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.822.773.0539.22%35.51%36.10%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.314%
Kelly -0.423%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.15%25.40%25.29%26.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.573.523.9029.85%27.98%28.37%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.66%E -5.97%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.10%E +0.689%K +1.03%G +0.022%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -14.31%E -6.88%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 15:05
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -14.31%E -6.88%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -14.72%E -7.11%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV +0.429%E +0.143%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.89%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -1.25%E -0.422%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV -1.23%E -0.314%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 11:55
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -16.78%E -8.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -15.16%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 15:05
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:50
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 18:50
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.62%EV -6.48%E -2.86%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.38%EV -5.26%E -1.86%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.99%EV -4.27%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 00:14
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.29%EV -4.83%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.94%EV -5.93%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -2.49%E -0.647%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:49
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:00
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.26%EV -6.89%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 19:29
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 02:00
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.94%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -7.61%E -2.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 02:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:44
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:39
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:44
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:09
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 13:18
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 04:00
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:44
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.11%EV -8.95%E -4.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 17:54
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.09%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:04
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.43%E -5.31%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 17:50
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.96%E -4.55%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 17:44
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -11.43%E -5.31%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 11:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.55%E -7.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-21 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.64%EV -14.72%E -7.11%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.15%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.20%EV -13.38%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.97%EV -15.55%E -7.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.94%EV -12.62%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -13.49%E -6.42%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -14.64%E -5.74%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -11.36%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%4.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%4.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%4.4%2026-04-23 20:15
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 39.18%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%9.1%2026-04-23 16:14