Language:English
KFUM v Lillestrom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KFUM (Local)
Prediction 27.70%3.61fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.68%27.73%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.253.5532.26%30.35%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lillestrom (Visit)
Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.79%47.05%47.10%48.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.981.972.0754.64%50.46%50.76%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.231%
Kelly -0.309%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%25.27%25.16%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.9330.30%28.00%27.78%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KFUM (Local): 27.70%; Lillestrom (Visit): 47.09%; Draw: 25.21%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.93, with an expected value of -0.906%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.13%EV -5.35%E -2.66%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.62%EV -0.906%E -0.231%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.67%E -0.471%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.93%EV -2.53%E -1.22%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -1.66%E -0.426%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -4.88%E -2.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.28%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -3.94%E -1.93%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.73%EV -11.50%E -3.28%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -6.30%E -3.16%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -8.72%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -9.12%E -4.73%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.09%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.72%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.19%EV -9.73%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -10.49%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.71%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.82%EV -3.00%E -1.46%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -13.01%E -3.77%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -8.65%E -4.46%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.97%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -6.77%E -3.42%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.27%E -4.20%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -15.53%E -4.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.59%E -5.00%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.18%E -4.19%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.06%E -5.27%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.75%E -3.36%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -7.24%E -3.67%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -7.71%E -3.93%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.79%E -5.09%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.83%E -7.56%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-15 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |