The School of Odds
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KFUM v Lillestrom

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KFUM (Local)

Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV -8.74%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -5.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.50%33.80%33.75%34.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.702.7040.00%37.76%37.04%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Visit)

Prediction 39.36%2.54fair odd
EV -6.32%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.74%39.36%39.45%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.382.3846.51%43.20%42.02%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -6.06%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.84%26.80%27.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.403.5031.75%29.74%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KFUM (Local): 33.80%; Lillestrom (Visit): 39.36%; Draw: 26.84%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -6.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:04
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:04
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:05
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:04
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.45%EV -9.08%E -3.93%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 14:03
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.47%E -4.12%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -10.26%E -4.50%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -10.26%E -4.50%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -13.81%E -5.42%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.50%E -6.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -15.37%E -7.15%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-08 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.13%EV -15.50%E -6.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -15.46%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-08 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.